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PRO: This Week in Visuals — PepsiCo, Delta, General Mills

2026-JUL-11 · ▶ Watch · raw transcript
Key points & figures extracted from the published PRO post (the live post + its charts are the

=== 1. PEPSICO (PEP): GAS PRICES BITE ===

PepsiCo's Q2 revenue rose 6% Y/Y to $24.2 billion ($230 million beat), with non-GAAP EPS of $2.20 ($0.01 miss). Organic revenue growth of 2.4% included effective net pricing plus modest volume gains, with FX adding 2.2 points and M&A 1.8 points. Shares fell by more than 3% anyway.

The North American segment disappointed after Q1's tentative snack rebound: Frito-Lay volume went flat, and revenue declined 2%, reversing the momentum from Q1's 2% volume gain. North American Beverages volume slid 4%, with operating margin down 90 bps. International remained the engine, projected to top $40 billion in revenue this year, with Asia Pacific Foods delivering double-digit volume growth.

CEO Ramon Laguarta said, "The consumer is worse than what we had anticipated, and it's driven mainly by gas prices." US gas prices surged above $4/gallon during Q2 due to the Iran conflict, and Laguarta said the pullback was concentrated in convenience stores and other impulse-purchase channels. PepsiCo is now tweaking its 15% price cuts by segment and has noted delays in regaining the shelf space retailers had promised.

The healthier "permissible portfolio" (protein-fortified snacks, portion-controlled multipacks) hit $3 billion in value and is growing double digits, which Laguarta flagged as a bright spot. Activist Elliott's pressure to accelerate the turnaround continues in the background.

PepsiCo reaffirmed full-year FY26 guidance, with organic revenue growth of 2-4% and core constant-currency EPS growth of 4-6%, though management flagged that results are likely to land at the low end of the EPS range. Tariff refunds will contribute roughly a full point of EPS growth to offset commodity inflation. The next question is whether the impulse channel recovers as gas prices ease, or whether Frito-Lay needs another pricing reset.

=== 2. DELTA (DAL): PREMIUM ABSORBS FUEL SHOCK ===

Delta's Q2 revenue rose 19% Y/Y to $19.8 billion ($1.0 billion beat), with adjusted EPS of $1.56 beating by $0.06 but down 26% Y/Y. The company delivered a 9% operating margin and generated $1.4 billion in first-half free cash flow. Shares dipped slightly as fresh US strikes on Iran raised fears that the fuel reprieve may be short-lived.

The premium-heavy model absorbed a historic fuel shock: Adjusted fuel expense reached $4.4 billion ($4.1 billion reported), the highest quarterly fuel bill in Delta's history and up 77% Y/Y. Premium revenue grew 17%, loyalty revenue grew 19%, and American Express remuneration hit $2.4 billion (+16% Y/Y), tracking to $9 billion for the full year. Domestic unit revenue rose 12%, international up 8%, with capacity up just 1%. It was the second consecutive quarter of positive growth in main cabin.

Delta also introduced basic fare categories for premium cabins (Delta First, Premium Select, Delta One), stripping benefits like lounge access, advance seat assignments, and flexible changes on lower-priced premium tickets. It offers cabin segmentation to protect fares without discounting the top of the plane. The MRO business (maintenance, repair, and overhaul) is scaling quickly and is on track to reach $1.2 billion in revenue this year (+50% Y/Y), while the new Delta Concierge AI assistant contributed to a 25-point improvement in NPS during irregular operations. Non-fuel CASM rose 6.8%, but CEO Ed Bastian expects a return to low single-digit non-fuel cost growth as capacity normalizes.

Delta reaffirmed full-year FY26 adjusted EPS guidance of $6.50-$7.50 (vs. $5.97 consensus) and free cash flow of $3-$4 billion. Bastian said fares will remain elevated to offset higher fuel costs, and Delta declined to provide guidance for FY27 given lingering geopolitical uncertainty. The next question is whether the premium mix and MRO can continue to offset fuel volatility, or whether the renewed Iran conflict forces another round of capacity cuts and pricing resets.

=== 3. GENERAL MILLS (GIS): REINVESTMENT PHASE ENDS ===

General Mills' Q4 revenue rose 1% Y/Y to $4.6 billion ($10 million beat), with adjusted EPS of $0.95 ($0.15 beat) and up from $0.74 a year ago. Organic net sales came in flat, better than feared, with a 3% international gain offsetting a 3% North America Pet decline. GAAP net loss of $2.01 billion reflected $1.8 billion in non-cash discount rate charges plus a $1 billion valuation loss tied to the Brazil divestiture. Shares jumped as much as 10%, the biggest intraday move since 2020, offsetting a 25% YTD decline.

CEO Jeff Harmening declared the price investment work "behind us" and pivoted the strategy toward innovation and premium mix: Functional nutrition: protein and fiber additions across Cheerios and other legacy brands, selling at premium price points. Pet: continued investment in Blue Buffalo's fresh line despite Q4 softness. Brand-level fixes: Totino's and Wilderness were called out as underperformers where price-pack architecture failed. $3 billion cumulative cost savings target by FY30, with $750 million in FY27 alone.

COO Dana McNabb signaled no consumer recovery expected in FY27, with shoppers continuing to buy on promotion and trade down on pack sizes. Adjusted gross margin still slipped 100 bps to 33.5% on higher input costs, and FY27 inflation is expected to reach 4-5%.

General Mills guided FY27 organic net sales to a range of -1.5% to +0.5%, adjusted operating profit down 8-13% in constant currency, and adjusted EPS of $3.00-$3.20 (vs. $3.12 consensus). The next question is whether the innovation pivot can produce visible volume acceleration in the back half of FY27, or whether shifting from price cuts to premium mix runs into the same value-conscious consumer that forced the reinvestment cycle in the first place.