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Mohnish Pabrai — Korea, the memory oligopoly & hated-and-unloved investing

"If you already own it, don't sell it. But if you don't own it, don't buy it — the party has only just started."
2026-JUN-30 · Knowledge Inside podcast (Kim Kiho), recorded 2026-JUN-08 · guest Mohnish Pabrai (Pabrai Investment Funds, ~$1.4B AUM) · 54:53 · ▶ Watch · transcript · actionable insights
One-line take: A Korea-focused sit-down. The KOSPI is lopsided because of the three-player memory oligopoly (SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron) — a near-impossible-to-enter business "providing the pickaxes in a gold rush." His call: hold, don't chase ("own it? don't sell; don't own it? don't buy — the party has only just started") — he regrets breaking his never-sell rule on his own memory stakes. Rest of the KOSPI is "somewhat undervalued" but faces a demographic headwind (even Hyundai, a "fabulous business," is squeezed by rising Korean labor costs); Amorepacific's moat is "a little bit shallow." His method: run the FAA crash-driven checklist (three retail items: no leverage, durable moat, owner quality), hunt only what's hated and unloved, and reject "shiny objects" — Bitcoin → AI → and next, SpaceX. His famous holding is Turkey's Reysas (40% owned, ~$16M → ~$1.5B, hold forever). For a beginner with $1,000: BRK.B.

1. Stocks & names mentioned

Stance reflects how each name was framed in this conversation, not a price target. The Korea checklist example (a hypothetical 3×-earnings power company), Dexter Shoes (Buffett's historical miss) and Bitcoin are discussion points, not positions. Research legend: QT Qualtrim · SA Seeking Alpha · STK Stock Analysis. Ordered Positive → Neutral → Negative.

TickerNameResearchViewWhat he saidAt
RYSAS.ISReysas (Borsa Istanbul)QT · STK · SAPositiveHis famous Turkish holding and hold-forever emblem: the largest warehouse builder/landlord in Turkey (~1.2M m², 99% inflation-indexed leases to Amazon, IKEA, Mercedes, Toyota). Bought at a ~$16M market cap vs ~$800M liquidation value; now ~$1.5B. Owns 40% — "we're just going to own it forever" while the founding father and son (son is 41) run it.37:44
BRK.BBerkshire HathawayQT · SA · STK · FAPositiveHis answer to "what would you do with $1,000?" — "BRKB… No leverage, lots of cash, very good management, very deep moat, very boring, very hated and unloved." Set it and forget it.43:34
000660.KSSK HynixQT · STK · SANeutralCore of the three-player memory oligopoly — "providing the pickaxes in a gold rush." A protected, near-impossible-to-enter business (patents + "black magic" fab know-how; the three can't keep up with demand). But don't chase: "if you already own it, don't sell it; if you don't own it, don't buy it — the party has only just started." Regrets selling his own stake.16:46
005930.KSSamsung ElectronicsQT · STK · SANeutralOne of the three memory makers that dominate the KOSPI. Memory went from a 20-player commodity war ("a useless business") to a three-player oligopoly with a real moat. Same hold-don't-chase framing as SK Hynix — own it? hold; don't own it? don't buy here.14:38
005380.KSHyundai MotorQT · STK · SANeutralA "fabulous business" and export powerhouse, but caught in Korea's demographic/labor-cost squeeze — "it's cheaper to produce a car in Alabama than in Korea," so production keeps moving to the US/China/India. Quality operator, structural headwind.17:34
MUMicron TechnologyQT · SA · STK · FANeutralThe US leg of the three-player memory oligopoly. Same protected economics — management told him that even with all the patents, engineers and a burned-down fab's full team, they're "not sure we could rebuild it at the same cost… there's black magic." He owned it, broke his never-sell rule and regrets it; same hold-don't-chase stance.15:13
090430.KSAmorepacificQT · STK · SANegativeKorea's premier skincare name — women worldwide envy Korean skin — and it has done extremely well, but as an investment "the moat is a little bit shallow": constant attack from rivals and customers who always want the next, better treatment. A great product without a durable brand moat "may not make it."28:38
SpaceXSpaceX (private)NegativeNamed as a warning, not a pick — "the next shiny object." The crowd that dumped Bitcoin for AI will dump AI for SpaceX's coming mega-IPO. "Please don't buy shiny objects… please buy what is hated and unloved."42:36

2. Talking points

0:00 Stocks are pieces of businesses — hold ideally forever

1:46 The $650k Buffett lunch — "buy one, get infinite free"

11:39 Korea's discount and the demographic problem

13:17 Exports, tariffs and rising labor costs

14:38 The memory oligopoly — pickaxes in a gold rush

16:46 Hold, don't chase — "the party has only just started"

17:11 The rest of the KOSPI — cheap but headwinded

17:53 The checklist came from the FAA

25:25 The three checklist items retail investors should use

33:51 Hated and unloved — hunt anomalies

35:05 Turkey and Reysas — a $1M apartment for $20k

38:47 Own it forever — and stress-test the downside

41:45 Shiny objects — Bitcoin → AI → SpaceX

43:34 $1,000 to start — buy Berkshire

48:20 Two levers, plus the give-back game

3. In plain English

A jargon-free summary of the thesis behind each name — what it actually is and why he holds that view. (Plain-language companion to the table above; renders on each ticker's consolidated page.)

RYSAS.IS — Reysas Positive

Reysas is a Turkish company that builds and rents out warehouses — it's the biggest warehouse landlord in Turkey, with about 1.2 million square metres leased almost entirely (99%) to blue-chip tenants like Amazon, IKEA, Mercedes and Toyota, on leases that automatically rise with inflation. Pabrai found it seven years ago when Turkey screened as the cheapest stock market in the world: the whole company could be bought for about $16 million even though selling off its buildings ("liquidation value") would have fetched ~$800 million. He describes it as buying a million-dollar apartment for $20,000.

He ran his checklist, confirmed there was no debt and that the buildings could survive a major earthquake (with insurance), and bought steadily until he owned 40% of the company. It's now worth about $1.5 billion. His plan is simply to never sell — "we're just going to own it forever" — as long as the founding father and his 41-year-old son keep running it well. It's his textbook "heads I win, tails I don't lose much" holding.

BRK.B — Berkshire Hathaway Positive

Berkshire Hathaway is Warren Buffett's company — a huge, cash-rich collection of businesses and stocks with essentially no debt. When asked what a beginner should do with $1,000, Pabrai's answer is Berkshire (ticker BRK.B): "no leverage, lots of cash, very good management, very deep moat, very boring, very hated and unloved."

That "boring" is the whole point. He tells people to get their excitement from life, not the stock market — put savings somewhere dull and durable, add to it every month, and leave it alone for decades so compounding works. Berkshire, like a broad index fund, is a "set it and forget it" home for that money.

000660.KS — SK Hynix Neutral

SK Hynix is one of only three companies in the world that make computer memory chips (the others are Samsung and Micron). Pabrai loves the business: memory used to be a brutal 20-player price war where nobody made money, but it consolidated down to three, and now it's nearly impossible for a fourth to break in — you'd need to violate patents, poach scarce senior engineers, and spend 10-20 years, and even then some of the manufacturing is "black magic" that can't easily be copied. With AI demand booming, the three can't make enough, so they're "selling the pickaxes in the gold rush."

But he's careful not to tell people to pile in now. His stance is: if you already own it, don't sell; if you don't own it, don't buy — "the party has only just started" but chasing it here isn't his style. He admits he broke his own never-sell rule by selling his memory stakes and regrets it.

005930.KS — Samsung Electronics Neutral

Samsung Electronics is the largest of the three memory-chip makers and a giant weight in Korea's stock index. The investment logic is the same as SK Hynix: a once-terrible commodity business has become a protected three-player club with a real moat, riding the AI-driven shortage of memory.

Pabrai's advice is identical too — this is a "hold, don't chase" name. If you already own Samsung, keep it; if you don't, he wouldn't start buying at these levels, even though he thinks the good times for memory have only just begun.

005380.KS — Hyundai Motor Neutral

Hyundai is Korea's big carmaker and, in Pabrai's words, a "fabulous business" and export powerhouse. The problem isn't the company — it's the country's math. Korea's population is shrinking fast, which pushes wages up sharply, so it's now cheaper for Hyundai to build a car in Alabama than at home, and production keeps shifting to the US, China and India.

So he rates it a quality operator fighting a structural headwind rather than a clear buy: a good company whose home base is getting more expensive to run in.

MU — Micron Technology Neutral

Micron is the American member of the three-company memory-chip oligopoly, alongside Samsung and SK Hynix. Pabrai uses it to explain just how deep the moat is: Micron's own management told him that even if a factory ("fab") burned down and they still had every patent, engineer and builder, they aren't sure they could rebuild it at the same cost and output — some of the process is "black magic." That's how hard it is for anyone new to enter.

As with the Korean two, his stance is hold-don't-chase. He owned Micron, sold it against his own never-sell rule, and openly regrets it — a caution to keep the winner rather than a fresh buy signal.

090430.KS — Amorepacific Negative

Amorepacific is Korea's leading skincare and cosmetics company — and Korean skincare is envied worldwide, so it has done very well. But Pabrai uses it as his example of a shallow moat. Beauty is a brutally competitive market: countless rivals keep attacking, and customers are never satisfied — they always want the next, newer, better treatment.

His point is that a great product without a durable, hard-to-copy brand advantage can still struggle over time. So despite its success, he'd be cautious owning it as a long-term investment — it fails his "durable moat" test.

SpaceX — SpaceX (private) Negative

SpaceX is Elon Musk's rocket company, still privately held but with a much-hyped stock-market listing (IPO) expected to be one of the biggest ever. Pabrai brings it up as the opposite of a recommendation — the next "shiny object."

His observation about crowd behaviour: money chases whatever is most loved. People dumped Bitcoin to buy AI when AI became the hot thing (Bitcoin fell from ~$100k to ~$70k); next, he predicts, they'll sell AI to buy the SpaceX IPO. His advice is to do the reverse — avoid whatever is loved and hyped, and buy what is "hated and unloved" instead.


Summary & timestamps derived from the public YouTube video (transcript in transcript.txt) for personal study. Not investment advice. © Knowledge Inside podcast / Pabrai Investment Funds for source material.