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Nomi Prins — APRIL ISSUE - Tap Into the Copper Producer America Needs Now

The Prinsights Pulse Premium April pick: a North American copper producer that just started making tariff-free U.S. cathode at a ~$5/lb margin.
2026-APR-30 · Prinsights Pulse Premium (Substack) · Nomi Prins (ex-Goldman Sachs MD; Prinsights Global) · newsletter · ↗ Read on Substack
One-line take: the April Pulse Premium pick is Taseko Mines (TGB) — a mid-tier Canadian copper producer with two operating mines in tier-one jurisdictions (Gibraltar, BC; Florence, Arizona) and a U.S. SX-EW cathode plant that poured its first copper March 2, 2026 (first new greenfield U.S. copper since 2008). Florence runs at a projected $1.11/lb C1 cost — a ~$5/lb margin with copper above $6 — and its tariff-free U.S. cathode gets structurally more valuable as the Section 232 schedule tightens (refined-copper tariffs of 15% in 2027, 30% in 2028). Taseko also locked in fixed-price acid for all of Florence's 2026 needs before China's ban hit. Action to take: buy TGB up to $8.50. (This is a paid issue; the full pick is reproduced here from the article text.)

1. Stocks & names mentioned

The recommended position is Taseko (TGB); the other named miners are cited as supply-crunch context. "View" reflects how each was framed in the piece. The "At" link opens the article. Research: QT Qualtrim · SA Seeking Alpha · STK Stock Analysis.

TickerNameResearchViewWhat she saidAt
TGBTaseko MinesQT · SA · STK · FAPositiveThe April Pulse Premium pick — mid-tier Canadian producer; Gibraltar (BC) funds the growth, Florence (AZ) just poured first U.S. cathode (first greenfield U.S. copper since 2008) at a ~$1.11/lb C1 cost; tariff-free domestic cathode + locked-in acid. Buy up to $8.50 (~25% upside to the Feb high; ~5x forward EV/EBITDA on 2027 estimates).read
CopperCopper (COMEX / LME)PositiveA top-five Prinsights 2026 commodity — ~$6/lb COMEX, $13,000+/tonne LME (near record); the April 2 tariff proclamation amplified the structural long-term view despite a reported 616kt "surplus."read
IVNIvanhoe MinesSA · STK · FANeutralConcentrate-crunch exhibit — cut Kamoa-Kakula's 2026 guidance to 290-330kt (from 380-420kt), falling out of the world's top 50 miners by market cap on the cut.read
FCXFreeport-McMoRanQT · SA · STK · FANeutralSupply-crunch exhibit — operates Indonesia's Grasberg (world's #2 copper, #1 gold); its largest producing block is offline and not expected to restart until Q2.read
ANTOAntofagastaSA · STKNeutralConcentrate-crisis exhibit — its benchmark annual deal with Chinese smelters closed at zero dollars per tonne; TC/RCs are now negative (below -$110/tonne).read
Zijin MiningZijin Mining (Chinese state-linked)NegativeCited as the "hidden cost" of foreign copper — owns 39.6% of Kamoa-Kakula (DRC govt owns 20%); a Chinese-state partner whose "tax" erodes a DRC miner's take-home despite 10x the ore grade of an Arizona mine.read

"View" reflects how each name was framed in this article (TGB/copper Positive = the rated pick + thesis asset; named miners Neutral = supply-crunch context; Zijin Negative = the foreign-ownership "hidden cost"), not a price rating. Research: QT Qualtrim · SA Seeking Alpha · STK Stock Analysis.

2. Key points

Washington rewrote the copper tariff code

The price is telling us the surplus is fake

The acid problem

The concentrate market is breaking

The tariff line is the only line that matters

The pick: Taseko Mines (TGB)

Risks, catalysts & valuation

3. In plain English

A jargon-free summary of why each name is in the piece. (Plain-language companion to the table above; renders on each ticker's consolidated page.)

TGB — Taseko Mines Positive

Taseko is the April pick. It runs two copper mines — one in British Columbia (Gibraltar) that throws off cash, and a brand-new one in Arizona (Florence) that just started making finished copper on U.S. soil for the first time since 2008. The Arizona mine uses a chemical process (pumping acid underground to dissolve copper, then plating it out) instead of digging a giant pit, and it can make a pound of copper for about $1.11 while copper sells for over $6 — a roughly $5 profit per pound.

The key edge is tariffs: imported copper now faces big and rising U.S. tariffs, but Taseko's Arizona copper never crosses a border, so American buyers can take it tariff-free. Taseko also locked in its acid supply at a fixed price before China's export ban sent acid prices soaring, so the shortage squeezing rivals doesn't hurt it this year. Prins says buy up to $8.50, with the main risk being how quickly the new Arizona mine ramps up to full production.

Copper — Copper (COMEX / LME) Positive

Copper is one of Prins's top long-term commodity bets, driven less by the economic cycle and more by U.S. policy and which country controls supply. Prices are near record highs even though some forecasters report a surplus — because, she argues, that surplus number ignores the new tariff wall, the broken ore-processing market, and a sulfuric-acid shortage that all make real copper tighter than the headline suggests.

Zijin Mining — Zijin Mining Negative

Zijin is a Chinese state-linked miner that owns nearly 40% of a giant DRC copper mine (with the DRC government owning another 20%). Prins uses it to make a point: even though that African mine has ten times the copper grade of an Arizona mine, the DRC operator's actual take-home pay is small once it pays processing fees, absorbs political risk, and effectively pays a "tax" to its Chinese partner. That's why she argues a U.S. producer like Taseko, free of those costs and the tariff, has the better economics.


Summary derived from the Prinsights Pulse Premium Substack issue for personal study. Not investment advice. © Nomi Prins / Prinsights for source material.