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Pieter Slegers — 10 Stocks To Own Forever

Coffee Can Investing: "Which companies would I like to own for the next 50 years?" — ten businesses picked on durability of relevance rather than valuation, counted down from ten to one.
2024-FEB-22 · Compounding Quality (Substack) · Pieter Slegers · written post · read ↗ · transcript · actionable insights
One-line take: a pure coffee-can exercise — the "can" your grandmother used as a piggy bank — where the only test applied to each name is "why will this company still be relevant in 50 years?" The ten answers cluster into five durability arguments: demographics (Zoetis on pet humanisation, Stryker on ageing), oligopoly / hard-to-enter structure (Old Dominion in LTL trucking, Brown & Brown in insurance broking), brand and market leadership in a niche (LVMH, Games Workshop), the serial-acquirer compounding machine (Constellation Software, Watsco), and float-plus-culture conglomerates (Markel as "mini-Berkshire", Berkshire Hathaway itself at #1). Valuation is explicitly waved off for the one name where it bites: Constellation "isn't cheap, but when you own a stock for 50 years, it doesn't matter that much." Berkshire wins the top slot precisely for being boring — "good investing is like watching paint dry."

1. Stocks & names mentioned

Stance reflects how each is framed in this post — every name here is put forward as a 50-year hold, so all ten are Positive; rows run in the post's countdown order (#1 first). Research legend: QT Qualtrim · SA Seeking Alpha · STK Stock Analysis. This is a written post with no timestamps — the At link opens the article.

TickerNameResearchViewWhat he saidAt
BRK.BBerkshire HathawayQT · SA · STK · FAPositiveThe #1 pick, and deliberately the most boring one: "Good investing is like watching paint dry and that's exactly why Berkshire Hathaway is the top pick." The best investment conglomerate that has ever existed, one of the best company cultures in the world, a relentless focus on shareholder value — and it "will continue to do well" even after Buffett.read ↗
BROBrown & BrownQT · SA · STK · FAPositive#2. An insurance brokerage placing property, casualty and employee-benefits cover for businesses and individuals. "Everyone needs insurance." Around since 1939, and management "thinks in decades instead of quarters."read ↗
WSOWatscoQT · SA · STK · FAPositive#3. The HVAC distributor selling air-conditioning, heating and refrigeration equipment to contractors and dealers. "Global warming causes an increased demand for HVAC." An attractive serial acquirer with a decentralized model and an excellent track record of creating shareholder value.read ↗
MKLMarkel GroupQT · SA · STK · FAPositive#4. "Markel can be seen as a 'mini-Berkshire Hathaway'" — insurance, reinsurance and investments in one holding. "The company invests its float, which leverages their growth. Markel has an excellent company culture."read ↗
GAW.LGames WorkshopQT · SA · STKPositive#5. Designs and sells miniatures, games and accessories to hobbyists, selling direct through its own stores and website and keeping tight control of the brand and community. "A clear market leader in a niche. Never have I met a company with such a great shareholder culture."read ↗
CSU.TOConstellation SoftwareQT · SA · STK · FAPositive#6. The Canadian acquirer of vertical market software (VMS) businesses, letting each run independently under the umbrella. "The best serial acquirer in the world… The valuation isn't cheap, but when you own a stock for 50 years, it doesn't matter that much."read ↗
LVMUYLVMH (ADR)QT · SAPositive#7 (written "$MC" in the post). The global luxury producer and distributor, 5,000+ stores, then the second-largest company in Europe after Novo Nordisk. "Luxury never goes out of fashion. LVMH will benefit from the growing middle class in Asia. Excellent business with a shareholder-oriented mindset."read ↗
SYKStrykerQT · SA · STK · FAPositive#8. Medical equipment, instruments and implants — hips and knees, endoscopy, operating-room equipment, spinal devices; a top-three player in reconstructive orthopaedic implants and the leader in OR equipment. "Stryker will benefit from our ageing population… hospitals are very loyal clients."read ↗
ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineQT · SA · STK · FAPositive#9. The less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier running regional, inter-regional and national freight plus drayage and brokerage. "The best-run LTL carrier in the United States… around since 1934. The oligopolistic industry makes it hard for new competitors to enter."read ↗
ZTSZoetisQT · SA · STK · FAPositive#10. The animal-health leader — veterinary medicines and vaccines for livestock and pets, with heavy R&D reinvestment. "More and more people do not have a partner or children and buy a pet instead. Together with IDEXX, Zoetis dominates the entire industry."read ↗

Stance = how each name is framed in this post, not a price rating. No valuation work is done on any of the ten here — the selection test is durability of relevance. The reusable process lives on the actionable insights page.

2. Talking points

Coffee Can Investing — the premise

#10 Zoetis — pets as the new dependants

#9 Old Dominion Freight — the oligopoly moat

#8 Stryker — ageing demographics plus sticky hospital customers

#7 LVMH — luxury never goes out of fashion

#6 Constellation Software — buy small VMS, leave it alone

#5 Games Workshop — a niche monopoly with a cult community

#4 Markel — the mini-Berkshire float engine

#3 Watsco — climate tailwind meets serial acquisition

#2 Brown & Brown — everyone needs insurance

#1 Berkshire Hathaway — boring on purpose

The sign-off

3. In plain English

A jargon-free summary of the thesis behind each name — what it is and why it should still matter in 50 years. (Renders on each name's consolidated page.)

BRK.B — Berkshire Hathaway Positive

Berkshire is a conglomerate: a parent company that wholly owns dozens of ordinary businesses (insurance, a railroad, utilities, retailers) and also holds a large portfolio of shares in other public companies. Its insurance arms collect premiums today and pay claims years later, and that pool of other people's money — "float" — is invested in the meantime, which is a cheap and permanent source of investing capital.

Slegers puts it at number one for the least glamorous reason available: it is boring, and boring is the point. "Good investing is like watching paint dry." His 50-year case rests on culture and structure rather than any current product — a company built to allocate capital sensibly, with a shareholder-first ethos that he expects to outlive Warren Buffett himself.

BRO — Brown & Brown Positive

Brown & Brown is an insurance broker, not an insurer. It does not take on the risk of your building burning down; it arranges the policy and takes a commission. That is a much lighter business — little capital tied up, fees that recur every renewal, and no exposure to a bad hurricane season.

The 50-year argument is simply that insurance is compulsory in commercial life and never stops being bought: "Everyone needs insurance." The company has been placing it since 1939, and Slegers singles out a management team that "thinks in decades instead of quarters" — the temperament a coffee-can holding requires.

WSO — Watsco Positive

Watsco is the middleman for air conditioning and heating: it buys HVAC equipment and parts from manufacturers and distributes them to the contractors who install and service them. Distribution is unglamorous but sticky — a contractor on a job needs the part today, from a branch nearby, with credit and technical support attached.

Slegers likes two things here. The demand side gets a structural push from a warming climate — more cooling, more often, in more places. And the supply side is a roll-up: Watsco keeps acquiring regional distributors and running them decentrally, so growth compounds through deals as well as through the underlying market.

MKL — Markel Group Positive

Markel writes specialty insurance and reinsurance, and then invests the premiums it holds before claims come due. That held-back money is called float, and it works like a long-term, low-cost loan the company gets to invest for its own account — so profits come both from underwriting well and from investing the float well.

Slegers describes it as a "mini-Berkshire Hathaway": the same structure of insurance plus investments plus wholly-owned operating businesses, at a size that still has room to grow. He rates the culture explicitly, which for a 50-year hold matters more than this year's combined ratio.

GAW.L — Games Workshop Positive

Games Workshop makes and sells the Warhammer miniatures — small model figures that hobbyists buy, assemble, paint and play with — almost entirely through its own shops and website rather than through retailers. Selling direct means it keeps the full margin and, more importantly, keeps control of the brand and of the community that forms around it.

The moat is intellectual property plus habit: a customer who has spent years building an army has no interest in starting over with someone else's rules and figures. Slegers calls it a clear market leader in a niche with an exceptional shareholder culture, and says it would be very hard for a competitor to dislodge. The row uses the London ticker (GAW.L); its US over-the-counter line is GMWKF.

CSU.TO — Constellation Software Positive

Constellation buys small software companies that make niche programs for one specific industry — dental practices, marinas, public transit operators — and then leaves them alone to keep running, sending the cash they generate back up to headquarters to buy the next one. That kind of software is called vertical market software (VMS); it is boring, mission-critical, and almost never replaced.

Slegers calls it the best serial acquirer in the world, and the compounding comes from repetition: hundreds of small, cheap, high-return acquisitions rather than one big bet. He concedes the stock is expensive and then dismisses the objection in the spirit of the exercise — "when you own a stock for 50 years, it doesn't matter that much." The row uses the Toronto ticker (CSU.TO); its US over-the-counter line is CNSWF.

LVMUY — LVMH Positive

LVMH owns the biggest collection of luxury brands in the world — Louis Vuitton, Dior, Moët, Hennessy and dozens more — and sells them through more than 5,000 of its own stores. Owning the brand and the shop means it sets its own prices and never has to discount to a retailer.

The 50-year case is that desire for status goods does not expire: "luxury never goes out of fashion." Add the growing Asian middle class as new buyers, and a controlling family that Slegers describes as shareholder-oriented, and you get a business whose relevance is unusually easy to project forward. The row uses the US ADR (LVMUY); the post writes the Paris ticker as "$MC".

SYK — Stryker Positive

Stryker makes the hardware of surgery: replacement hips and knees, spinal implants, endoscopy cameras, operating-room equipment and hospital beds. It is one of the three biggest players in joint replacement and the leader in operating-room equipment.

Two things make it a coffee-can candidate for Slegers. Demand grows with the age of the population — older bodies need more joints replaced — and the customer is unusually sticky: surgeons are trained on a particular system and hospitals standardise around it, so switching means retraining staff and rebuying instruments.

ODFL — Old Dominion Freight Line Positive

Old Dominion runs "less-than-truckload" freight: instead of one customer filling a whole trailer, many customers' pallets share one, moving through a network of terminals that sort and reload them. Building that terminal network takes decades and enormous capital, which is why only a handful of carriers exist.

Slegers calls it the best-run LTL carrier in the United States, operating since 1934, and rests the 50-year case on industry structure rather than on any product: an oligopoly that new entrants cannot realistically break into keeps its pricing and its returns.

ZTS — Zoetis Positive

Zoetis is the largest animal-health company in the world — the medicines, vaccines and treatments a vet reaches for, both for pets and for farm animals. It spends heavily on research to keep launching new products, which is what keeps a drug business from being ground down by generics.

The durability argument is social: more people are living without a partner or children and buying a pet instead, and they spend more on that pet every year. Together with IDEXX (the diagnostics leader), Slegers says Zoetis "dominates the entire industry" — a duopoly-like position in a market with a demographic tailwind behind it.


Summary derived from the archived Compounding Quality post (text in transcript.txt) for personal study. Not investment advice. © Compounding Quality / Pieter Slegers for source material.