In short: H1 2026 adjusted EBITDA R1,318M vs R691M and profit R1,391M vs R248M; coal sales up but a stronger Rand mitigated it. "I am still bullish and will continue to hold" — the Gulf war is cutting LNG exports into strong demand, so coal is being substituted where it can be.
Thungela mines and exports South African thermal coal — the kind burned to make electricity. Its half-year profits jumped (operating profit roughly doubled), but less than the sales figures suggest, because it sells coal in dollars and pays its costs in rand: when the rand strengthens, the same dollar sale converts into fewer rand of profit. That currency drag, not demand, is what capped the results.
The reason he stays bullish is a substitution argument. The war in the Gulf is restricting shipments of liquefied natural gas while electricity demand keeps rising, so utilities that can burn coal instead of gas are doing so. Coal is the swing fuel when gas is scarce or expensive — an unfashionable position that pays precisely when energy markets are disrupted.
In short: Holding; no major news this month (Dividend Portfolio).
In short: No major news this month (Dividend Portfolio holding).
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