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Actionable insights — Resource Stocks Across Copper, Silver, Uranium & Royalties

The repeatable analysis behind the picks: not what he owns, but how he picks it — written so the process can be rerun later on different names.
2026-AUG-28 · Natural Resource Stocks (host Steve Yang) · Jeff Phillips (private investor / junior-resource consultant) · ▶ Watch · full analysis · transcript
How to read this page: each insight is a method — the screen or trigger that put him onto an idea, the discipline that turned it into a position, and the signal to watch when re-running it. The boxed line shows how it played out in this appearance. One extra layer applies here: Phillips is a paid consultant and large shareholder in most of the names he discusses and says so repeatedly, so insight 6 is about reading a disclosed-bias interview as data rather than as advice. Timestamps deep-link into the video.

24:48 1. The share-structure checklist — who owns the shares, not how many

The repeatable method
  1. Pull the share count first, before the geology. A junior with 36–38 million shares out behaves completely differently from one with 300 million: the same drill hole moves the small one many times more.
  2. Check management's ownership, not their incentives. "They don't just own 3% of the outstanding shares and have a bunch of options. They have 20, 30, 40, 50%." Options are a free lottery ticket; bought stock is skin.
  3. Net the cash against the market cap. Cash sitting in the treasury against a small share count means the drilling is already paid for — no financing overhang, no dilution while you wait.
  4. Read the register for who else is in and at what price. Like-minded long-horizon holders who "need to make a bigger hit to make a difference in their lives" behave differently from warrant-flippers looking to double from 20 to 40 cents.
  5. Only then ask whether the rocks are any good.
Here: KNG is the pure expression — ~C$14–15M cash, only ~36–38M shares out, ~C$40–50M cap, no need to raise, 17 drill results still to come (17:19). GRL passes the same test at ~C$24M with cash in the bank and no raise pending (11:54).
Watch for

24:27 2. Builders who have sold before — and verify the claim

The repeatable method
  1. Ask the one question that matters about the team: "have they built and sold a company before?" A junior explorer's product is not a mine, it's a takeout.
  2. Verify it independently — "you got to really do your due diligence there to make sure it's true." Resumes in this sector are self-reported.
  3. Follow the individual across companies rather than following the company. When an operator with a real exit behind them shows up somewhere new, that's the lead.
  4. Prefer people you would work with repeatedly — Phillips' filter is people he would "go on vacation with," which is a proxy for whether they'll deal straight with him when the drilling goes badly.
Here: the track record cited is BRVO / Alderon / PMET financed at $20–30M caps ("16 cents… went to $16"). The follow-the-person trades are Blake Steele — Azarga's Dewey Burdock permitted and sold to EU — now a director of NSU (22:43), and Marc Blythe, BYN's chairman, now running AUGC (12:34).
Watch for

25:14 3. Smart-money entry points — read when the institution came in, not just that it did

The repeatable method
  1. When an institution leads a placement, locate its entry relative to yours. A fund coming in later and higher than the early speculators is the informative case — it has paid up deliberately.
  2. Size the cheque against the company. A ~$25M order into a ~$300M company is not a position, it's a thesis: "they're not investing in this to see if it can go up 100 million."
  3. Infer the target outcome from the cheque size. Work out what the asset must become for that investor's return to make sense — usually "a billion dollar asset, multi-billion dollar asset" — and treat that as their implied case, then judge whether the geology can carry it.
  4. Do not treat this as a buy signal on its own — it is confirmation that a well-resourced diligence team looked at the same rocks and stayed.
Here: BlackRock led ~$25M into GLAD's last financing, well above where Phillips financed it at a ~$30M cap; his implied outcome is the Arizona Sonoran → Hudbay path at ~$1.6B (9:13). Same pattern in BRVO.
Watch for

5:19 4. The resource-sector calendar — buy the doldrums, sell into the conferences

The repeatable method
  1. Anchor the year on two conferences: Beaver Creek in September and PDAC in Toronto in March. The window between them — "September, October, all the way through March" — is typically the better resource market.
  2. Treat the summer as the accumulation window; "normally the summer doldrums end sometime in August."
  3. Look for the specific dislocation the calendar creates: companies that have added cash and advanced their projects since March but still trade below their March price. Fundamentals improved, the tape didn't.
  4. Time company-specific entries ahead of news that is calendared to the conferences — juniors deliberately release results just before Beaver Creek and PDAC.
  5. Require survivability, not just cheapness: "pick the right companies that can weather the short term, midterm" — i.e. names that don't have to finance into weakness.
Here: he says the doldrums ended in August and stocks and commodities were moving back up until the Warsh-driven down day. GRL expects "a couple sets" of drill results in early September, just before Beaver Creek (11:39); DGC is framed as a speculation "going into the good time of the year, fall, and into PDAC" (16:07); KNG has drill holes coming through September and October.
Watch for

3:58 5. The 2008 playbook — a super-cycle can be interrupted, and that's the entry

The repeatable method
  1. Separate the two questions: is the secular bull intact, and can it be interrupted? Both can be yes. 2003–07 was a genuine resource super-cycle and the financial crisis still cut it in half.
  2. Model the interruption as a liquidity event, not a demand event. Gold near $1,000 fell to ~$700 while the Nasdaq halved — not because gold's case broke but "because people need liquidity when the air gets let out of the tires."
  3. Identify where the current air is: "overspending in everything from private equity to AI to government debt." You cannot time the release; you can pre-decide the response.
  4. Expect juniors to be sold hardest — they are the most liquid thing a retail speculator can sell — so hold names that are already funded and won't have to finance into that tape.
  5. Plan to buy it: the 2008 analog ends in record highs "at prices a lot of people didn't suspect." The interruption is the entry, not the exit.
Here: recorded on the day Warsh's Jackson Hole remarks took gold down ~$110/oz — which he explicitly refuses to over-read ("it's a daily thing") while holding the structural case (3:32). Every pick he names is one he says is funded and not raising money.
Watch for

23:44 6. Reading the disclosed-bias interview — his edge and his conflict are the same fact

The repeatable method
  1. Ask what the speaker's relationship to each name is before weighing anything they say about it. Phillips volunteers it: "I'm biased. I'm a big shareholder. Some of these companies I consult for, I've said."
  2. Understand the mechanism he describes rather than dismissing it: "when I consult for a company, I need to be a very large shareholder… I want to benefit my shares and see them raise capital." The pay-off is the share price, which aligns him with holders — and gives him a reason to talk the book in public.
  3. Rank the names by conflict tier and discount accordingly. Consultant plus large shareholder is the most conflicted; passive small shareholding with no fee is the cleanest read.
  4. Use the interview for the facts a shareholder-insider knows and an outsider doesn't — timing of drill results, treasury position, share count, who led the last financing — and independently verify the interpretation.
  5. Apply his own sizing rule regardless: juniors are "educated speculating… a small piece of your financial pie that you're trying to get massive outside returns on. It's not the whole pie."
Here: tier one (consultant + large shareholder) — GLAD, GRL, DGC; tier two (shareholder, no fee disclosed) — KNG, EMPR, NSU; cleanest reads — BYN ("a small shareholder") and ABRA. Tungsten is the control case: he is bullish and owns nothing, so there is no book to talk (21:26).
Watch for

11:54 7. The critical-metals policy tailwind — screen for US ground plus a permitting fast-track

The repeatable method
  1. Start from the import-dependence gap, not the commodity price. The US produces ~2% of the uranium it consumes while nuclear supplies ~22% of its electricity — a gap that policy has to close.
  2. Check who currently supplies it. Russia, Kazakhstan, Africa "and Canada… we may be in trouble" — the more the supply chain runs through counterparties that can be disrupted, the harder the policy push.
  3. Screen for the domestic asset in a jurisdiction that has recently reopened to mining — the window where good ground is cheap because nobody has looked at it for two decades.
  4. Require a concrete policy marker rather than a narrative one: critical-minerals list membership plus an actual federal permitting designation such as FAST-41.
  5. Prefer brownfield: ground a major already drilled or nearly mined at far lower metal prices carries known geology and a much shorter path to a decision.
Here: GRL — Wisconsin mining-friendly again after ~20 years, old Rio Tinto ground, copper on the critical list, FAST-41 granted. NSU — an 11 Mlb New Mexico resource Kerr-McGee was building a mine on in the 1970s (22:25). Tungsten is the unfilled slot: he's looking at staking ground in Wyoming.
Watch for

7:45 8. Buy the district, not the deposit — follow up the holes nobody followed up

The repeatable method
  1. Look for a belt with historic production where the operator left because of price, not because of geology, and where the leftover pit is treated as the whole story.
  2. Go through the historic files for holes that were drilled and never followed up. Those are free options: the geology is proven, the follow-up is cheap.
  3. Insist the ground is drill-tested rather than grassroots — "these aren't just grassroots projects. Both have had drill holes on them before."
  4. Check for the neighbour effect: mineralised structures on an adjacent discovery that physically continue onto your ground are the highest-confidence targets available.
  5. Read the news-release run rate as the scoreboard — "if you go back through their news releases, you're going to see they're hitting almost every hole."
Here: GLAD at Whitehorse — old Hudbay pits at Cowley Park plus never-followed-up drilling elsewhere in the belt, now yielding Cub East at over 1% copper. DGC's Peru project surrounds Highlander's Bonita discovery with the veins continuing onto its ground (14:50); KNG's Las Coloradas is a huge past-producing Mexican district.
Watch for

15:47 9. Three good projects in a C$22M shell — the spin-out fix

The repeatable method
  1. Compare the number of genuinely fundable projects against the market cap. A company carrying three drill-ready assets inside a ~C$22M valuation cannot fund or properly promote any of them.
  2. Treat that mismatch as a catalyst, not a flaw — the resolution is to advance two and "spin out one of them into a separate company to raise money," which creates a second vehicle and re-rates the parent.
  3. Sequence your expectations by permit dates, since permits gate drilling: value the asset that gets drilled this year differently from the one whose permits arrive next year.
  4. Accept that this only works when the projects genuinely stand alone — "these are all tremendous projects that need to have some focus on them."
Here: DGC — Cerro Bayo drills this year on Argentine permits; the two Peru projects wait on permits next year; Phillips would like to see one spun out to fund the others (14:16).
Watch for

Methods distilled from the public YouTube video for personal study. Jeff Phillips discloses on tape that he is a paid consultant and/or large shareholder in most of the companies named. Not investment advice.