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OCI.AS · OCI N.V. (Amsterdam: OCI) 4.11 EUR +0.01 (+0.34%) 2026-SEP-18 11:35 EST

My allocationNot heldas of 2026-SEP-03 · allocation page ↗
Research: QT · SA · STK1 mention
2024-NOV-10 · Jay Singh · Special Situations Report — weekly research call (premium, Discord) · Positiveinsight · source page ↗10.75 EUR

In short: New idea (sharing later in the month) — the Dutch nitrogen-fertilizer group sold ~$11B of assets and declared a €14.5 dividend on a €24 stock; net of the payout it trades ~€10.80 at a negative ~€700M enterprise value (>€3B cash vs ~€2.5B cap). Re-rates 30–40% if management avoids a bad acquisition (or pays another special dividend); risk = a dumb deal or a Dutch withholding tax.

In plain English

OCI is a Dutch fertilizer company (it makes nitrogen-based fertilizer). It sold off about $11 billion of its businesses at high prices and is handing the cash back to shareholders as a huge €14.5 special dividend on what was a €24 stock.

After that payout the stock is around €10.80 — and the company will still hold more cash (over €3 billion) than its entire market value (~€2.5 billion). That means you're effectively being paid to own the leftover fertilizer business (a "negative enterprise value"). The bet pays 30–40% if management is disciplined — either growing what's left, buying something cheap, or paying another dividend. The risk is they blow the cash on a bad, overpriced acquisition.

SOD 10.75 EUR (open 2024-NOV-08)

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