| Account | Shares | Price | Value | % of acct | Cost/sh | Gain $ | Gain % | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401K | 585 | $101.50 | $59,378 | 2.42% | $49.99 | $30,135 | +103.0% | — |
| HSA | 29 | $96.38 | $2,795 | 2.59% | $86.43 | $289 | +11.5% | — |
| RLT | 179 | $101.50 | $18,168 | 1.08% | $47.49 | $9,668 | +113.7% | — |
| ROTH | 111 | $101.50 | $11,266 | 4.40% | $49.42 | $5,781 | +105.4% | — |
| Total | 904 | $91,608 | 2.04% | $45,873 | +100.3% | — |
In short: Referenced only — the one-off ~40m lb Energoatom–Cameco deal that flattered 2023's ~160m lb of term volume; later the "quality" core in his sleep-test example ("85% juniors and then 10% Cameco and 5% cash" is the portfolio that keeps you awake).
9:54year. In 2023 we came the closest with a little over 160 million pounds, but that was remarkably flattered by a one-off Energoatom deal worth roughly 40 million between Ukraine and Cameco. But what we're seeing right now is we are at 38 million pounds so far being reported — it's very important, being reported — so far this year.
In short: Passing mention — the host's intro: Cameco's CEO sat on the Canada Investment Summit critical-minerals panel with the CEOs of Teck and Agnico. Al-Joundi says nothing about it.
2:29Everybody's giddy about our natural resources and now our ability to finally get them out the ground and moving. I sat on a panel with the CEO of Cameco, the CEO of Teck Resources, and the CEO of Agnico Eagle to really tackle the critical minerals piece, which is a key part of the Canada Strong agenda. In this episode, we have an extended conversation with the CEO of Agnico Eagle, Ammar Al-Joundi, who says this moment is very real.
In short: Fuel layer, nuclear: "Cameco as a producer of nuclear fuel," alongside other fuel processors that would make sense in the portfolio.
Cameco mines and processes uranium, the fuel for nuclear reactors. Nuclear is the other main fuel source he sees for the power build-out, so Cameco is his fuel-layer example on the nuclear side.
9:41You also have Antero as another good example. And so that's kind of on the natural gas side, what would make sense in a portfolio like this. On the nuclear side, you've got Cameco as a producer of nuclear fuel. You also have other companies that help process that fuel that would make sense in the portfolio. From the transportation standpoint, we're looking at natural gas pipeline companies there.
In short: The listed route into Westinghouse (49%) plus fuel exposure. "I'm a big fan of Cameco, I'm a shareholder of Cameco, but relatively priced is not cheap." He sees relatively better value in the junior explorers.
Canada's biggest uranium miner, which also owns nearly half of Westinghouse. Buying Cameco gets you both the nuclear fuel and a stake in the reactor builder. Finegold owns it, but he thinks the share price already reflects much of that, so it is "not cheap" compared with smaller uranium explorers.
9:02I think, again, I'm a big fan of Cameco, I'm a shareholder of Cameco, but relatively priced is not cheap. Look at that versus some of the quite exciting sort of junior exploration names across the US and also across Canada. I think there's some interesting trades around that. And ultimately, there's going to be a wave of consolidation like we saw in the previous cycle.
In short: Reported: Cameco will buy all future production of GLE's planned Paducah Laser Enrichment Facility under an exclusive offtake, paying GLE its average realised price across its long-term contract portfolio (net of selling costs). Cameco owns 49% of both GLE and Westinghouse; Goldsworthy calls it "one of the largest global providers of nuclear fuel."
Cameco is one of the world's biggest uranium suppliers. It has agreed to buy everything a planned new American enrichment plant in Paducah, Kentucky will make. Enrichment is the step that concentrates the useful kind of uranium so it can fuel a reactor, and the West is short of it.
Cameco already owns 49% of the company building the plant (Global Laser Enrichment) and 49% of reactor maker Westinghouse. Taking all the plant's output lets Cameco sell more fuel — including enriched product made from old leftover uranium — through its existing customer contracts. The article reports the deal; it doesn't give a view on Cameco's stock.
In short: Spoke to Cameco at the conference: "extremely constructive of where things are going." Cameco says greenfield needs $120, and its legacy tier-one mines (Cigar Lake past 2035, McArthur River 2042) are among the big mines rolling off. Codex also bought Cameco/Energy Fuels call options last year to ride the volatility.
Cameco is the biggest listed Western uranium miner. It owns Canada's top mines, Cigar Lake and McArthur River. Mart's point is that even Cameco says a brand-new mine needs about $120 a pound to be worth building, well above today's ~$97 contract price. Meanwhile, old mines like these will wind down over the next 10–20 years.
A producer that already has working mines gains most when new supply is that expensive and slow to arrive. Cameco left the conference "extremely constructive," as Mart expected.
26:51I promise my reports are a lot more concise and to the point. Yeah, I think that with Kazakhstan being responsible for 40% of world supply and their cost curve, their C1 cost rising 37%, their sustaining cost rising 25%, it is pretty ridiculous where we are heading. I mean Camo says that we need $120 for greenfield.
In short: Its CEO told the symposium fuel supply "has to be secured now, particularly uranium, because expanding uranium production is not like adding capacity in other segments of the fuel cycle"; its VP investor relations says "buyers were willing to accept premium prices from safe stable jurisdictions," with appetite "coming from everywhere and now including data center operators." The security-of-supply premium "is not a temporary distortion… it's going to be a permanent feature of this market."
Cameco is the largest Western uranium producer. Two of its executives made the case this week. The CEO told the symposium that uranium supply has to be secured now, because you cannot add a uranium mine the way you add a factory line — it takes many years of permitting and building.
The investor-relations head added the part that matters for Cameco's own pricing: customers are willing to pay more for uranium from safe, politically stable countries, and the demand now comes from everywhere, including data-center operators who want nuclear power for their servers. Set that beside Kazatomprom saying it could sell everything to the East, and Western buyers are competing for a smaller pool. Frostad's conclusion is that the extra price paid for trustworthy supply is a permanent feature of the market, not a blip — and Cameco is the biggest seller of exactly that kind of pound.
9:19Cameco's vice president of investor relations speaking to the same theme from the other side of the market says buyers were willing to accept premium prices from safe stable jurisdictions. Put those two statements beside each other and the shape of the market becomes clear. Eastern demand is climbing fast enough that the world's largest producer could clear its entire book in that direction alone.
In short: One of "only a couple of companies" in uranium with "a market cap big enough" for Citadel-type generalist funds that "want to be able to write a $50 million check and not become an insider" — cited as the scale the juniors need to merge toward.
9:38But in order to get to where the Citadels of the world can purchase you, the big hedge funds, the big generalists, you've got to be bigger. And right now, there's only a couple of companies out there, Camo and maybe Dennis now and UC, that have a market cap big enough for these guys. They want to be able to write a $50 million check and not become an insider.
In short: Signed a 9-year, ~22m lb deal with India delivering 2027–2035 on market-related terms, leaving a large share of production committed years forward. "Why do you think Cameco has been so comfortable just sitting back until utilities accept their terms? Because the fallback is buying in the open market at whatever it costs on the day." Grant Isaac at the Finance Summit: why should a lender treat a 60-year contracted generating asset differently from a toll road? Held Codex cornerstone.
Cameco is the largest listed Western uranium producer. It just agreed to sell India about 22 million pounds over 2027–2035, so more of its future production is already spoken for.
Mart's point is about bargaining power: when utilities cannot find enough uranium elsewhere, the seller does not need to chase them. Cameco has been content to wait until buyers accept its terms, because a utility's only alternative is the open market at whatever the price is that day.
Full passage: premium transcript (PDF).
In short: Held: "we own some of the safer seniors like Cameco and NexGen" — the core of the uranium exposure he says every active metals investor needs, with juniors on top for upside.
Cameco is one of the world's largest uranium miners, based in Canada. Beck owns it as a "safer senior" — the dependable core of his uranium exposure. His reasoning is about how nuclear plants are paid for: almost all of a reactor's cost is the building itself, and fuel is a small slice of running costs. So when uranium gets scarce, utilities will pay almost any price rather than shut a billion-dollar plant down. With about 76 reactors under construction worldwide and long-term contract prices already at a record $105 a pound, he expects those contract prices to reach $150–200 within six months, which would flow straight to established producers like Cameco.
8:56But the real money and the real juice in this business is trying to find those basket of juniors, and they all won't work out, but where you can pick them up for five cents and with a little bit of luck and good timing they'll be worth a dollar or $2 a share in 12 to 18 months.
In short: One of the biggest holdings. The uranium shortage "is acute and it's here today" (the existing fleet alone needs it; China still growing). For quality compounders "it's really Cameco or physical": a strong-jurisdiction miner with world-class deposits and operating leverage, plus the Westinghouse special situation (only scale AP1000 developer; a possible spin of the treatment business).
Cameco is one of the world's biggest uranium miners, based in stable Canada. Davolos says the uranium shortage isn't a future story — just keeping today's reactors running needs more than is being mined, before counting new reactors in the West, China and for AI power.
Many uranium stocks are speculative, so for a quality investor it's "Cameco or physical." Cameco's costs are largely fixed, so higher uranium prices flow disproportionately to profit, and its stake in Westinghouse (the reactor builder) is a bonus if the West returns to nuclear.
44:56But to your point, there's a quality problem in the uranium world. And in my opinion, if you're investing in quality compounding businesses, it's really Cameco or physical. And so personally, I own the SPUT physical uranium trust. You can buy yellowcake which is also physical, but Cameco is a strong jurisdiction miner with world-class deposits that is going to have a lot of operating leverage in that higher uranium demand world.
In short: The disciplined producer in a sellers' market: signs term contracts with ceilings near $150 rather than dumping into spot, sold ~22M lb to India in Q1, and flagged "an emerging trend of sovereign buyers locking up large volumes." His imagined reply to a balking utility: "Where were you when we had to pay $10 million a month to put McArthur River on care and maintenance?" — Cigar Lake is done in 2035, McArthur in 2042, and 36M lb/yr must be replaced, so "I have to stack when times are good."
Cameco is one of the world's two largest uranium miners. In this episode Huhn uses it as the model of a producer that behaves well in a tightening market: instead of selling extra pounds on the open (spot) market, which would push the price down, it signs long contracts with a floor and a high ceiling — so it keeps most of the upside if prices rise. India alone bought an estimated 22 million pounds from it this year, and Cameco itself has pointed out that governments are now locking up large volumes from several suppliers at once.
He also gives Cameco's answer to utilities who complain about $150 ceilings when its costs are around $50. A mine's cost today isn't the relevant number: Cameco paid about $10 million a month to keep McArthur River idle when nobody would sign at a decent price, its Cigar Lake mine is finished in 2035 and McArthur River in 2042, and replacing that 36 million pounds a year could cost $5–10 billion. A producer that has to build its own replacement has every reason to insist on high prices while it can get them.
42:26What the heck?" Well, Kamo hopefully is and should turn around and say, "Where were you when we had to pay $10 million a month to put Macarthur River on care of maintenance?" You wouldn't sign a contract when I was begging you to sign a contract. You said, "Hey, I can't. My budget department won't let me because I can go buy uranium in the spot market for cheaper than what you're asking me.
In short: "Active in the region" — one of the operators drawing on a province of ~1.5M people for skilled workers; Cigar Lake is the benchmark for Phoenix as "the first new large scale uranium mine in the region since."
3:46So we have projects like BHP's Jansen project in the province of Saskatchewan, Al Dorado's got the former for copper project in the region and Kamico's active in the region as well as Orano. Look, the province is not big. It's 1 and a.5 million people in Saskatchewan when you're being generous. And so there is generally a tight labor market in the province.
In short: Counterparty to one of India's two "very large transactions kind of under the radar" early this year ("well played India. No one really saw that coming") — just under $2bn, expected ~18–20M lb. "The Cameco one has not been in those volume," which is why the 37M lb year-to-date term figure "feels a little bit misleading."
Cameco, the big Canadian uranium miner, is mentioned not as a pick but as one side of a very large sale: India quietly signed a long-term supply deal with it early this year, reportedly just under $2 billion. Jander's point is that this contract is not in the widely quoted 37 million pounds of term contracting so far this year, so anyone judging utility demand off that number is undercounting it. He also argues Canadian-mined pounds should earn a premium, since Canada is a safe jurisdiction and the West will need all of its supply.
3:35So, well played India. No one really saw that coming. Both with Kazatomprom and with Cameco. I think the Kazatomprom one might have been in last year's numbers but the Cameco one has not been in those volume and that's going to be to the 2020 million pounds I think. So, there is some very large transactions that hasn't showed up in this 37 million pounds.
In short: "There was no news to report on" in the portfolio section — but the Bruce Power life-extension news lands directly on it: "Cameco holds an exclusive arrangement covering 100% of Bruce's uranium, conversion and fabrication requirements, extended out to 2040," against reactors now mandated to 2064. "Do the subtraction and you are looking at 24 uncovered years and roughly 47 million pounds of demand that cannot be deferred, hedged or engineered away."
Cameco had no company news this issue, but the biggest uranium story in it lands squarely on its books. Bruce Power in Ontario — one of the largest nuclear stations on earth — just committed CAD$7.7bn to keep running, and six of its eight reactors now have an operating mandate out to 2064. Reactors that keep running keep buying fuel.
Cameco has an exclusive deal covering 100% of Bruce's uranium, conversion and fabrication needs, but only out to 2040. Mart does the subtraction: that leaves 24 years and roughly 47 million pounds of demand at a single site that nobody has contracted for yet — demand that "cannot be deferred, hedged or engineered away," because a running reactor has no alternative to buying fuel. He also rebuilds the fuel math properly (CANDU reactors use natural uranium with no enrichment losses, so they eat about 22% less than the standard rule of thumb suggests), which makes the number credible rather than promotional.
Full passage: premium transcript (PDF).
In short: Cited as the evidence that "$96 is not yet a real number for the industry": Cameco "realized $67.79 a pound in the second quarter, up meaningfully from a year earlier, which is genuine progress. But its unit cost of sales rose 26% in that same quarter against an 18% rise in realized price, meaning costs are climbing faster than revenue per pound." Its realized price climbing toward $90 is one of the two signals Frostad names as confirmation the legacy contract book is finally rolling off.
Cameco is not being rated here — it is being used as evidence. The point Frostad wants to make is that the $96 headline term price is not the price producers are actually being paid. Cameco sells most of its pounds under contracts signed years ago, so what it realizes per pound lags the market badly: $67.79 in the second quarter. That is up meaningfully from a year earlier — "genuine progress" — but it is nowhere near $96.
The uncomfortable half of the number is the cost line. Unit cost of sales rose 26% in the same quarter, against an 18% rise in realized price. Costs climbing faster than revenue per pound means the margin per pound is going backwards even as the commodity rallies. If the biggest, best-capitalised producer on the continent is squeezed like that, the developers and explorers priced off a coming boom have "very little story to tell" — which is a large part of why every tier of uranium equity fell through a summer when uranium itself rose.
The forward-looking use of this number is the important bit. Frostad names Cameco's realized price climbing toward $90 as one of two confirmation signals that the industry's cheap legacy contract book is finally rolling off. Until that number moves, the $96 term price is a quote, not cash flow.
5:03And that expectation has now failed to arrive for three consecutive years. This summer was the third disappointment in the sequence, and each one costs the sector a little more patience than the last. The evidence that $96 is not yet a real number for the industry sits in the producers own filings. Cameco realized $67.79 a pound in the second quarter, up meaningfully from a year earlier, which is genuine progress.
In short: The listed way to own the incumbent's option on the new format: "Westinghouse Electric, a nuclear developer owned by Cameco (CCJ) and Brookfield Renewable Partners, plans to deploy some too," and Westinghouse "has also been testing its own microreactor" while owning "the most advanced large-reactor design on the market today." It also reached criticality this year under the DOE program. A free option layered on the July 31 AP1000/IPO thesis, plus the fuel-cycle pull if the format scales.
Cameco mines uranium and owns 49% of Westinghouse, the company with the most advanced large reactor design in the world. This article adds a line that was not in the July story: Westinghouse has been quietly testing a microreactor of its own, plans to deploy some at Army bases, and reached "criticality" this year — meaning its test reactor successfully started up.
So Cameco now carries three separate exposures to the same theme. It sells the fuel. It owns half of the incumbent large-reactor licensor heading toward a public listing. And through that stake it holds a free option on the small format, developed by an organisation that already knows how to get a design licensed — which is exactly the capability the startups lack, since none of them has a commercial operating licence yet.
The honest caveat is that none of this is separable. You cannot buy the microreactor option on its own; it is one line inside a uranium miner with a large minority stake in a private company. It improves the story rather than being the story.
In short: Respected, not bought: "Cameco is the 800lb gorilla, but it's always very expensive." He then gives Cameco the strongest strategic position in the sector without recommending the stock — "they can just sit back on their laurels. They know where all the good projects are… and they can just say, 'Let these guys bleed out and then we can swoop in and take this over at 10 cents under'… them and Kazatomprom are basically managing the market." Cameco people are also his source on the delayed Kazakh acid plant ("they hadn't even moved any earth for that plant yet, according to the Cameco people").
Cameco is the largest Western uranium miner — the safe, liquid, institution-friendly way to own the theme. Polomny's objection is simply price: "it's always very expensive." When a stock is permanently the consensus choice, the discount he needs never appears.
He does, though, give Cameco the strongest hand in the industry. It knows where every good deposit is, so it can wait for struggling developers to run out of money and then buy their assets cheaply — "let these guys bleed out and then we can swoop in." Together with Kazakhstan's state producer, he thinks the two of them are effectively managing how much uranium reaches the market.
That is a bullish argument for the price of uranium and a neutral one for the shares. It is also the logic behind buying the metal instead: if the two dominant producers are restraining supply, you want to own the thing being restrained, not the companies doing the restraining at 30 times earnings.
1:09:25It's like guys what did you do? — Yeah. So, and Cameco is the 800lb gorilla, but it's always very expensive. — And so, my thing is how do I express the position? So, the only thing I tell people is look, I just buy the metal — the SPUT product when it goes very negative on net asset value like I think like a month ago was like negative 13%.
In short: The Westinghouse IPO doesn't change his long-term view — it's a funding decision: they "can't stand that capital infusion on their own balance sheet" for the projected US buildout, and floating it signals confidence that the administration's 10 × 1-gigawatt Westinghouse programme goes ahead. It removes Westinghouse engineering earnings but "will add back nuclear fuel supply, nuclear fuel processing — it'll add back a lot… So depending on the price and terms, it's extremely positive." He has been buying the uranium pullback.
Cameco mines uranium and co-owns Westinghouse, which designs and builds reactors. The news was that Westinghouse is being taken public through an IPO, and the question was whether that damages the long-term Cameco story. Rick says no — it's a funding decision.
Building ten large reactors in the United States requires enormous capital that Cameco "can't stand… on their own balance sheet." Selling shares in Westinghouse to outside investors raises that money without Cameco writing the cheque. It also signals management genuinely believes the US programme will happen, since you don't float a business into a market you expect to disappoint.
The trade-off is straightforward: Cameco gives up some Westinghouse engineering profit, but gains from supplying and processing the fuel for every reactor built — "it'll add back a lot. So depending on the price and terms, it's extremely positive." The only caveat he attaches is the one every IPO deserves: it depends on price and terms.
22:17So depending on the price and terms, it's extremely positive. Okay. Yeah. Cameco, well, all the uranium equities have had a nice pullback lately. Been buying. You recently came out with an article on Substack on exactly that. It seems like you believe that we're probably in the little trough section right now where it's a good time to be buying.
In short: "The best company in the sector in the uranium sector" — the benchmark every other uranium name is priced against. Retail answer: buy the physical trust "and buy Cameco and then do nothing for a while." Could fall 25%, but if it monetizes its pipeline and sells watts through Westinghouse rather than pounds, it "could grow three or four or fivefold in market capitalization" over a decade.
Cameco is the Western world's premier uranium miner, and Rick uses it as his yardstick: he prices every other uranium company by asking how big a discount he'd need to own it instead of Cameco. For an ordinary investor who doesn't want to do that work, his instruction is simply "buy Cameco and then do nothing for a while."
The extra angle is Westinghouse, the reactor business Cameco part-owns. If Cameco can shift from selling pounds of uranium to selling watts — i.e. capturing value from the electricity the reactors produce, not just the fuel — he thinks the company "could grow three or four or fivefold in market capitalization" over ten years. He's blunt about the trade-off: it could easily fall 25–30% along the way, and the payoff takes 5–10 years, which is exactly the time frame most people refuse to accept.
19:55uranium trust or something like that and buy Cameco and then do nothing for a while.
20:04Could it fall 25% from here? Yeah, absolutely, positively could fall 25% from here. If they
In short: The Canadian uranium miner that owns 49% of Westinghouse and is the only public window into its numbers: Cameco's share of Westinghouse's 2025 revenue was C$3.46B ($2.47B U.S.), up 20% year over year. An IPO would put a market price on a stake currently buried inside Cameco's financials. (Quoted in-article on its Toronto line, CCO, down 1.34% on the day read.)
Cameco mines uranium, but it also owns 49% of Westinghouse — and that stake is currently invisible to the stock market, because a privately-held half-share doesn't get its own price. Cameco's own financial statements are, as it happens, the only public window into how Westinghouse is doing: its share of 2025 revenue was C$3.46 billion (about $2.47 billion), up 20% from the year before. Doubling that implies Westinghouse as a whole took in roughly $5 billion and is growing at a healthy clip.
The relevance of the IPO to Cameco shareholders is that it would put a visible market price on that hidden asset. If Westinghouse really lists at "tens of billions," Cameco's 49% would be worth a large, newly-quantified sum — and investors could stop guessing at it. Nothing in the article makes a call on Cameco's uranium business itself; the point here is the stake, and the fact that a listing turns an estimate into a number.
In short: "The quarter is a good deal stronger than it may come out if you just throw it into an AI agent and ask for a summary" — the ugly headline is a Westinghouse comparison artifact; volumes are down 18% by choice and costs up on FX (1.33→1.35) and purchase timing, while price and revenue guidance went up (realized C$91–96/lb) with volumes held. The ceiling-capped older contract vintages that cap today's realized price are exactly what unwinds in Cameco's favour: ~$67/lb realized in 2026 vs ~$88 by 2030 at a flat $100 spot.
Cameco mines uranium and sells it to utilities under long-term contracts, and it also owns 49% of Westinghouse, the company that designs and services nuclear reactors. This quarter's headline numbers looked weak, and Mart's argument is that almost none of the weakness is what it appears to be. Sales volumes fell 18% because Cameco chose to sell fewer pounds — it is holding back supply while prices rise rather than locking in today's price. Production fell because the annual maintenance shutdown at Cigar Lake happened in this quarter instead of the next one. Costs jumped 26% mostly because Cameco bought a lot more uranium on the open market this quarter (2.8m lbs vs 0.7m a year ago) and because a stronger US dollar makes everything it buys in dollars more expensive while its mining costs are in Canadian dollars. And a chunk of the year-on-year "decline" is simply Westinghouse being compared against a much better prior-year period.
The forward-looking numbers moved the other way: Cameco raised what it expects to be paid per pound (to C$91–96, from C$85–89) and raised its revenue guidance, while leaving production and delivery volumes untouched. In plain terms, it expects the same amount of uranium to fetch more money.
The heart of the thesis is the contract book. Many of Cameco's older contracts have a "ceiling" — a maximum price the utility will pay no matter how high the market goes — so even with uranium near record term prices, Cameco's realized price is held down. Those old contracts expire over the next few years and get replaced with newer ones written at much higher levels. Cameco publishes a table showing exactly this: if the market price simply sat at $100 a pound and never moved, Cameco would realize about $67/lb in 2026 but roughly $88/lb by 2030, purely because the cheap old contracts roll off. So today's disappointing realized price is not a problem with the business — it is a countdown timer running in the shareholder's favour.
Full passage: premium transcript (PDF).
In short: "We think Cameco's present price level represents an attractive entry point in view of the 2H 2026 sector strength we anticipate." The $0.13 vs $0.28 EPS miss and $573.5M revenue are explained by Westinghouse lapping a one-time Dukovany contribution plus a cost bridge of market purchases (2.9M lbs at ~$91/lb), product-loan revaluations and Cigar Lake's maintenance shifting into Q2 (Cigar Lake −43%, McArthur/Key Lake +28%, gross margin 23.4%). Full-year production guidance held at 19.5–21.5M lbs; five-year contract coverage averaging 28M+ lbs of annual deliveries; $1.1bn cash, $1.0bn debt, $1.0bn undrawn revolver. Shares ran to $94 pre-market and sold off to $86.90 (−1.5%).
Cameco mines uranium and sells it to utilities under multi-year contracts, and it owns 49% of Westinghouse, which designs and services nuclear reactors. On the surface this quarter was bad: profit of 13 cents a share against the 28 cents analysts expected, and revenue below forecast. Huhn's bulletin takes the miss apart piece by piece, and almost every piece turns out to be a timing or comparison issue rather than a business problem.
The biggest single factor is a comparison artifact. In the same quarter a year earlier, Westinghouse booked a large one-off contribution from the Dukovany reactor project in the Czech Republic. That was never going to repeat, so the year-on-year "decline" is partly just the absence of a windfall.
The margin squeeze has three named causes, none of which is a mine going wrong. First, Cameco bought 2.9 million pounds of uranium on the open market at roughly $91 a pound — buying at market prices to fill contracts is more expensive than mining it yourself. Second, "product loans" (uranium borrowed and lent between industry participants) get re-valued each period at the average cost of inventory, an accounting entry rather than a cash cost. Third, and biggest, the annual maintenance shutdown at Cigar Lake happened in this quarter instead of the next one, cutting that mine's output 43%. The other operations, McArthur River and Key Lake, actually produced 28% more. Total mined output of 3.9 million pounds was the weakest second quarter since 2022 — and Cameco still left its full-year production target of 19.5–21.5 million pounds untouched. That combination is the tell: if the shortfall were real, the annual number would have moved.
The forward picture is solid. Long-term contract prices are at multi-year highs, Cameco has five years of contract coverage averaging more than 28 million pounds of deliveries a year, and it holds $1.1bn of cash against $1.0bn of debt with a completely undrawn $1.0bn credit line.
The news that actually moved the discussion was Westinghouse quietly filing a draft prospectus (a Form S-1) with the SEC for a possible stock market listing of its own. Management's argument is twofold: a separate listing lets investors value a pure nuclear technology business on technology multiples rather than mining multiples, and it lets Westinghouse raise its own money for a heavy expansion phase instead of asking Cameco and Brookfield for it. Nothing is set — no share count, no price, no date. The prize behind it is a pipeline of 91 identified AP1000 reactor opportunities worldwide, plus a conditional $17.5bn US Department of Energy financing commitment covering the expensive long-lead components for up to 10 reactors, plus smaller AP300 and eVinci designs. Huhn is careful to say none of that is 2026 cash flow — it is why the market values the stake the way it does, not what it earns today.
The reason he calls the price attractive is the mismatch between what was said and what the stock did. COO Grant Isaac's point on the call is that uranium has reached $97 in the term market before utilities have done most of their contracting — every previous time prices got here, the buying was already finished. Shares had run to $94 before the open and finished the session at $86.90. Huhn's read: an operationally intact quarter, a stronger structural setup, and a lower price — "an attractive entry point in view of the 2H 2026 sector strength we anticipate."
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In short: 6.25% Dynamic Model position. "The Cameco business model is becoming clearer by the day. The company has grown into a 'turnkey' full service supplier of uranium, conversion, fabricated fuel, and likely enrichment at some future date with the amalgamation of Silex's GLE into their mix." Through its 49% of Westinghouse it "stands to be a major beneficiary" of the DOE's conditional $17.5bn loan commitment for ten AP1000 reactors — "the buildouts of new AP1000's will undoubtedly be followed by new Cameco long term supply contracts." Near-term risk flagged: Cigar Lake mining temporarily suspended after Orano's McClean Lake acid plant went down, with the 2026 guidance impact left open-ended. Shares −9.6% in June to $101.86.
Cameco is the Western world's dominant uranium company, and Huhn's framing this month is that it has quietly become something bigger than a miner: a "turnkey" supplier that mines uranium, converts it, fabricates finished fuel, and — if Cameco exercises its option over Silex's laser venture — may one day enrich it too. Owning every step of the fuel cycle is rare, and it means a utility can buy the whole package from one counterparty. He holds it at 6.25% in the Dynamic Model.
The catalyst discussed here is government money. The US Department of Energy conditionally committed $17.5 billion in loans for ten Westinghouse AP1000 reactors across five two-reactor projects. Cameco owns 49% of Westinghouse, so it captures both the reactor economics and, later, the fuel: as Huhn puts it, "the buildouts of new AP1000's will undoubtedly be followed by new Cameco long term supply contracts." Each project's sponsors must commit $500M of their own equity before drawing loan funds, and Energy Secretary Chris Wright says the program could pull construction timelines forward by up to three years.
The near-term wrinkle is operational and not Cameco's fault. Cigar Lake ore is milled at Orano's McClean Lake facility, and that mill's sulfuric acid plant broke down. With almost no ore storage at the mine, Cameco simply stopped mining until acid supply returns. Huhn flags that Cameco deliberately left the effect on 2026 production guidance open-ended — while noting a similar flood-related halt in May was resolved without changing guidance.
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In short: A single-name way to play uranium — "the second biggest but the largest producer of uranium." At $85–90/lb, producers that made nothing at $40 and lost money at $20 "are making real good money."
Cameco is a single-stock way to own uranium — "the second biggest but the largest producer" (i.e. the biggest actual miner). Rick's economics point: at today's ~$85–90/lb uranium, producers that made nothing at $40 and lost money at $20 are now "making real good money," and even that price isn't high enough to bring on much new supply while demand keeps growing.
58:05You could buy Kamako, the second biggest but the largest producer of uranium. If you feel a bit more gamey, you could buy their Kazakhstani competitor, Kazatam. Or you could buy a basket of juniors. That basket would probably include NextGen. Would definitely include Paladin. and could conceivably also include Denison.
In short: One of the two companies "most levered" to the AP1000 large-scale-nuclear fix — owns 49% of Westinghouse (Brookfield 51%), which is "deeply undervalued within Cameco today" and could come public as the US government lines up commitments/early procurement.
Cameco is one of the world's biggest uranium miners, but Smith's angle here is different: Cameco owns 49% of Westinghouse, the company that makes the AP1000 — a big, proven nuclear reactor. Smith thinks large-scale nuclear (not small experimental reactors) is the only lasting fix for the power crunch, and AP1000s are the horse to bet on.
He argues that Westinghouse stake is "deeply undervalued" inside Cameco today, especially as the US government lines up orders and financing to get reactors built — and that Westinghouse could eventually be taken public, surfacing that value.
32:57Two companies most levered to that would be Cameco which owns 49%, Brookfield 51%. You'll probably find that the US government I think agrees with what I'm describing. They seem to really be lining up and trying to facilitate commitments and early procurement which will derisk some of the supply chain which will help put timelines on this. When the Westinghouse comes public and it's deeply undervalued within Cameco today. So that's an interesting one.
In short: First name on the producer rung — producers are "the most immediately impacted by the price of uranium rising." Also Purepoint's JV partner at Smart Lake (73%) and Hook Lake.
Cameco is the biggest Western uranium miner, which Frostad places on the "producer" rung — the listed companies whose profits respond most directly to a higher uranium price, since they already have uranium to sell. It is also Purepoint's partner on two projects (Smart Lake and Hook Lake), paying most of the exploration bills there.
8:41There's not a lot of us out there. So when you're looking at producers, they're going to be the most immediately impacted by the price of uranium rising and those would be the likes of a Cameco, Kazatomprom, which trades in London, Energy Fuels down in the US, Uranium Energy Corp. So there are a number of producers but no more than a small handful and they're of course going to be directly impacted by the price of uranium.
In short: A geological reference point, not a view: UEC's new Ludeman satellite in the Powder River Basin "is the deposit which kind of is extension of Cameco's Smith Ranch deposit and operations." (Melbye is ex-Cameco.)
12:12So at Christensen Ranch, it's a beehive of activity. We're also bringing on a new satellite to Irigaray in the Powder River Basin called Ludeman. That's the deposit which kind of is extension of Cameco's Smith Ranch deposit and operations. That we hope to have completed and bring into production late next year.
In short: No company release this issue; he points to the DOE AP1000 long-lead financing and the extensive SMR analysis in the nuclear section. Also flags Mike's estimate that some Cameco market-related collars may settle toward $160–175/lb — the headline term print is a floor, not the whole story.
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In short: Named in the uranium supply-woes item: "Cameco shuts down the world's largest uranium mine at Cigar Lake" — one of three simultaneous shutdowns (with Orano and Lotus) caused by sulfuric-acid shortages. Cited as bullish-supply context in a market he says is undersupplied and grinding higher.
Cameco is one of the world's biggest uranium miners. Here it comes up as a supply story rather than a stock pitch: Cameco just shut its Cigar Lake mine (the world's largest) at the same time France's Orano shut the world's largest processing mill and a mine in Malawi closed — all three tripped up by a shortage of sulfuric acid, a basic chemical needed to process ore. When the biggest producers go offline at once in a market that's already short of uranium, it tightens supply further and supports the whole uranium-bull thesis Polomny is playing.
16:17Again, not much to be said, a lot of bullishness, a lot of bullish news. Demand continuing to increase and supply again constrained. So, here's a tweet by John Quakes. Uranium supply woes continue to pile up as Orano shuts down world's largest uranium mill at McClean Lake. Cameco shuts down the world's largest uranium mine at Cigar Lake.
In short: Don't panic on Cigar Lake: the mine is fine — the pause is downstream at Orano's McClean Lake mill (sulfuric-acid plant repairs), expected back in ~2 weeks with no hit to 2026 guidance (~17.5–18m lbs, 100% basis). "Two weeks is noise"; the math only changes if it becomes four or more.
Cameco is the anchor holding of the Codex uranium basket, and this week's scare was the headline that it took Cigar Lake — one of the world's biggest uranium mines — offline. Mart's point is that the problem isn't the mine at all: the ore from Cigar Lake gets processed at a separate facility, Orano's McClean Lake mill, and it's the mill's sulfuric-acid plant that needs repairs. Cameco simply paused mining because there's no point digging ore you can't process. The mill is expected back in about two weeks, and Cameco sees no impact on its 2026 production guidance (~17.5–18 million pounds on a 100% basis).
His framework for interruptions like this: two weeks is noise — the spring flooding at Key Lake resolved inside a similar window with guidance untouched — and the story only "gets real" if the outage doubles to four-plus weeks and starts eating into the annual figure. Until Cameco says the acid plant is a bigger job than advertised, "this is a maintenance headline wearing a supply-shock costume." He isn't spending energy on it, and the holding stands.
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In short: No company-specific news this issue; held as the quality anchor of the uranium basket — the name utilities call first when signing long-term fuel contracts.
Cameco is the world's largest publicly-traded uranium miner, headquartered in Canada and dual-listed on the NYSE and TSX. Think of it as the anchor of the Codex uranium basket — it is the name utilities call first when they need to sign a long-term fuel supply contract. Cameco owns Cigar Lake (the world's highest-grade producing uranium mine) and a 40% stake in Inkai in Kazakhstan. At current spot prices it generates solid free cash flow; at the higher contract prices the new utility contracting cycle is moving toward, the earnings leverage is significant.
No news this issue — Mart holds CCJ as the quality anchor in a basket that is otherwise weighted toward higher-beta developers. The role here is not to provide the biggest return; it is to provide the most durable one and to ensure the basket has a large, liquid name that can absorb size when the time comes to add.
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In short: "The company that seems to be progressing the fastest in terms of nuclear technology is Canadian — it's Cameco, having bought Westinghouse." Named as the best-positioned name on the nuclear-reactor-build side of the uranium/AI-power thesis.
Cameco is a large Canadian uranium miner, and it now also owns part of Westinghouse, which designs and services nuclear reactors. Rule singles it out as the company "progressing the fastest in terms of nuclear technology" — so it captures both sides of his nuclear thesis: digging up the fuel and building the plants that burn it. In a world where the AI build-out forces a nuclear revival, owning the best-positioned name across the whole chain is his point here.
46:31And by the way, the company that seems to be progressing the fastest in terms of nuclear technology is Canadian. It's Cameco having bought Westinghouse. — Okay. Once we start building plants, I don't think we'll ever have as efficient, if that's the right phrase, as lenient a regulatory regime as the Chinese have, — right? — But I also don't think that we're going to be able to be as inefficient as we are today.
In short: Owned 5 years, "lightened up" — prefers the commodity (SRUUF). Production problems (weather, Canadian environmental rules) and the management habit of overpromising production keep him cautious on the equity (bullish the price).
Cameco is the biggest Western uranium miner. He's owned it five years but has "lightened up," preferring the physical uranium trust. The reason: producers like Cameco chronically overpromise on how fast new production will come (the Elon-robotaxi analogy), and Canadian weather and environmental rules slow things further. Those misses are bullish for the uranium price — but a reason to be cautious on the miner's stock right now.
53:50The thing about Cameco and NexGen and a lot of these Canadian assets is the companies, they're a little bit like Elon Musk. He's like, oh, we have autonomous vehicles and they'll be all over the streets and high market share by 2026. Sure, that happened in Austin, Texas. You can say that.
In short: Ranks it a 4 and is a large shareholder. His worry — could they operate Westinghouse after buying it, transitioning from pure miner to miner-and-engineer — has been answered by the last three quarters: "they can and they are." "I can't imagine a better franchise to be part of for the next 10 years."
Cameco is the West's premier uranium company, owned by Rule and graded a 4. His one worry had been whether Cameco could successfully run Westinghouse (the nuclear-reactor business it bought), turning itself from a pure miner into a miner-and-engineer — and he says the last three quarters answered that: "they can and they are." He's not promising the stock goes straight up, but says he "can't imagine a better franchise to be part of for the next 10 years" as nuclear demand grows.
42:02— Well, let's start off with the biggest name in the space or one of the biggest ones, Cameco, CCJ. — I'm a large Cameco shareholder. My concern about Cameco was whether or not they could adequately, having bought it, operate Westinghouse. That is to say transition from being a pure miner to a miner and engineer.
In short: "I do own Cameco. Yes, it's expensive… this is getting crazy, a function of multiples of book." Likes the Westinghouse optionality, but it's the one he looks at and thinks valuation has run.
Cameco is the big Western uranium producer, and Larson owns it — but with reservations. He likes the optionality from its Westinghouse nuclear-services stake, but flags that the valuation "is getting crazy" on a price-to-book basis (the stock is expensive relative to the accounting value of its assets). So it's a hold-with-caution rather than a fresh buy; he gets cleaner, cheaper exposure through the HURA ETF.
34:18And so that's giving me my sector play. It's giving me exposure. I do own Cameco. Yes, it's expensive. It's one I look at a lot and go this is getting crazy, function of multiples of book. I like the Westinghouse optionality on it and then NexGen, it's really tough when you look at the market cap for pre-revenue, but with the way they talk their book, Rook One, I think they're expecting, again these are their numbers, it to be almost 20% of global supply, pair this all back to that halo, these heavy assets with low
In short: Bought out TEPCO Resources' 5% Cigar Lake stake for ~C$115.75m, lifting Cameco's interest to 57.418%; adds ~0.5Mlb/yr of attributable tier-one production through 2036+ — a small, logical move paying up for licensed, permitted, lowest-cost pounds in a market where utilities are increasingly chasing supply rather than the other way around.
Cameco owns a share of Cigar Lake in northern Saskatchewan, one of the highest-grade uranium mines on the planet. TEPCO — the uranium arm of Tokyo Electric Power — wanted to sell its small 5% slice, and Cameco stepped up for roughly C$116 million. That lifts Cameco's ownership by a touch under 3 percentage points, which works out to about half a million extra pounds of uranium a year they now get to sell.
Half a million pounds sounds modest against Cameco's total book, and on its own it isn't dramatic. The interesting part is what it signals: Cameco chose to spend real cash buying more of one of the world's best deposits rather than sit on it. That reads as a company confident it can place every pound it produces — and then some — at prices well above what the term market is currently showing. Cigar Lake is planned to run until at least 2036, so even at half a million pounds a year that's another five million pounds over a decade that can go into new long-term contracts at increasingly attractive pricing as the global contracting cycle tightens. Stretch the mine life and the math only improves. Small move, clear signal from management about where they think uranium prices are heading.
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In short: Still up 4% YTD while the commodity is down ~5–6% — that relative richness is why he prefers the commodity; producers like Cameco "tend to overpromise on production" (which is itself bullish for the price).
Cameco is the biggest Western uranium miner — and it's still up 4% this year while the metal itself is down ~5%. To him that relative richness is the warning: the equity hasn't yet priced the volatility he expects, and producers like Cameco "tend to overpromise on production" anyway. Ironically those production misses tighten supply further — bullish for the uranium price he owns, not necessarily the miner.
45:59It's almost six, but Camo's up 4% still. So the underperformance of the commodity gets me excited right now. And I think I want to buy the URMM or the NUKZ, which is the ETFs that own these companies. I want to buy them on a little bit more pain like we had last April, May of 2025 with the trade war.
In short: His preferred way to play the uranium thesis — large, liquid, geopolitically stable, plus a Westinghouse call option (AP1000 builds + an enrichment/treatment backlog). Valuation has run up but it'll be a flow beneficiary as uranium ascends.
Cameco is one of the world's largest uranium miners — big, easy to trade, and based in politically stable Canada — which makes it his preferred way to bet on a nuclear-power revival without taking on small-miner risk.
On top of the mining, it owns a stake in Westinghouse, which builds reactors and handles fuel enrichment — an extra kicker as new reactors get built. The stock has already run up, but he expects it to keep benefiting as money flows into the uranium theme.
46:29, was that these projects are notorious for being delayed and costing much more than uh reported. And this is true for almost every commodity, but particularly true for uranium. Um I think NextGen has incredible assets, and the experts that I know feel very strongly about the long-term value of these. Um I think it's a little bit easier just to play it through the large liquid Cameco stake, where Cameco is large, it's liquid, it's geopolitically stable, and then they have a call option in their Westinghouse business.
In short: For a bit of operational risk, "the highest quality uranium producer in the world" — highly liquid, a full-cycle shop (producing, enriching, and now building mines/processing for others and generating power).
For investors willing to take a bit more risk (an actual operating business rather than just the metal), Rule calls Cameco "the highest quality uranium producer in the world." It's a Canadian company that does the whole chain — mining uranium, enriching it, building mines and processing plants for others, and even generating power — and its shares trade easily. His top-quality producer pick.
15:12So the best form of physical ownership is in fact certificated ownership and by far the most liquid of those vehicles is the SPUT physical trust. If someone wants to take a bit of operational risk, I would suggest that the highest quality uranium producer in the world is the Canadian-domiciled Cameco, the symbol CCJ on the New York Stock Exchange and the Toronto Stock Exchange for your Canadian listeners.
In short: Referenced as the natural builder/buyer of big uranium deposits — historically the only credible bidder for NexGen-scale assets.
30:08The point of all this is 10 years ago uh if you would say to me what happened what would happen to this deposit uh I would have said likely it has to be sold and the only one who can build it is Kamico so it has to be sold to Kamico and it's really tough to have an auction with one bidder. Now they can tell the market we can build this thing.
In short: Referenced in the India demand story — India's high commissioner: "We would buy as much (uranium) as Cameco can produce."
In short: McArthur River and Key Lake back to full production via secondary road after the Smoothstone River Bridge partial collapse; consolidated 2026 guidance of 19.5–21.5 Mlbs (Cameco share) remains intact with no downgrade, though primary route restoration date is still unconfirmed.
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In short: Lightening it (and URNM/NUKZ) in favor of the uranium commodity — still bullish uranium, just rotating equity → commodity.
Cameco is the best-known uranium miner. He's "lightening" (reducing) his position — not because he's turned bearish on uranium, but because he's rotating from the mining stocks into the physical uranium itself.
He stays bullish on uranium overall; he just wants the cleaner exposure of the commodity rather than company-specific risk, so he's trimming Cameco to fund that shift.
22:19And the contract buyers, right, are starting to The contract buyers in the uranium side, which are the big utilities, they've been kind of dealing from strength for a long time because they've always had excess supply. Now, there just isn't enough uranium for all these data centers. So, the SRUUF we've actually been lightening uh taking down our Cameco and our URNM and our NUKEZ.
In short: "Were I a uranium investor — and I am — I'd focus on Cameco," the most competitive uranium producer in the world; transformed from a U3O8 miner into "a seller of watts" (fully integrated via Westinghouse), with ultra-high-grade ore mined robotically.
Cameco is a Canadian uranium company, and Rule calls it "the most competitive uranium producer in the world." His key point is that it's no longer just a miner that digs up uranium ore (the raw material is called U3O8); after buying the reactor-engineering firm Westinghouse it now does the whole chain — mining, enriching, building reactors, and effectively selling electricity. He sums that up as going "from a miner of U3O8 to a seller of watts" (a watt is a unit of power), meaning it profits all along the nuclear-energy supply chain instead of just at the mine.
Its ore is so rich that some of it has to be mined by remote-controlled robots because the radiation would kill a human standing next to it — an unusual but genuine sign of deposit quality. For Rule, who is himself a uranium investor, Cameco is the name to focus on.
34:15The bottom line to all that was, were I a uranium investor — and by the way, I am — I would focus on Cameco. I was uncertain about Cameco the first time we talked some years ago because I wondered when a uranium mining company buys an engineering firm like Westinghouse, how they're able to manage two businesses. Turns out they managed pretty well.
In short: Passing mention — the host's contracting-strategy comparison, alongside NexGen; Cigar Lake ore is also co-milled with SABRE ore at McClean. Implicitly one of the "incumbent producers" for whom "growth is not a priority."
8:34And maybe you can speak to how your strategy at Denison will be different from NextGen's and Cameco when it comes to selling pounds. Yeah, absolutely. So, it all starts with basically a Denison-centric approach. And what that really means for us is looking at our unique circumstance, whether that's our assets, our balance sheet, and market position.
In short: On March 2 signed a 9-year deal with India for 22M lbs (deliveries 2027-2035, ~$1.9B at current prices) — proof utilities are racing to lock long-term supply; also a co-owner (with Brookfield) of Westinghouse behind the $80B US reactor partnership.
Cameco is one of the West's biggest uranium miners (Canada). Prins highlights two things: it just signed a nine-year, $1.9 billion deal to sell India 22 million pounds of uranium — a sign that buyers are scrambling to lock in supply years ahead — and it co-owns Westinghouse, the reactor builder at the heart of an $80 billion U.S. government nuclear push. So Cameco sits on both the fuel side and the reactor side of the build-out.
In short: Cited as a price-chart data source (Cameco / Trading Economics / ANS) for the uranium spot breakout — an industry reference, not a rated pick in this piece.
In short: Passing mention — host narration, not Rick Rule. The channel host names Cameco only as a hypothetical big player that might "circle" NexGen and "stack shares and take it over" on a dip, giving the stock a floor. Rule says nothing about Cameco in these clips.
6:40Huge capital raises needed in the future. Potential dilution. Not ideal, but still, when you have the best uranium mine on the planet, what happens is the big players like Cameco circle. So, the second your stock dips, some of the bigger players might want to just stack shares and take it over.
In short: Bullish supply tell (consistent with his held Nov-24 "buying again" stance): one of the two largest producers (with Kazatomprom) "missing production numbers, taking down guidance and drawing down inventory to meet commitments" — Cameco "may itself become a selective spot buyer to fill contracts and rebuild inventory," a bullish demand-side pressure on spot. (SPUT stores its pounds at Cameco's Blind River facility.)
In short: Cited as context — a co-owner of Westinghouse Electric (with Brookfield) behind the landmark $80B US government nuclear-reactor buildout partnership; an illustration of the nuclear policy tailwind, not a rated pick.
In short: Bullish uranium tell: Cameco (+ a utility) showed up to buy spot at $76-77/lb vs a ~$85 term price with the carry wide open — and Cameco has been borrowing pounds to meet deliveries, "a game that can be played for only so long." Paulo "was buying again on Friday," betting on a Strategic Uranium Reserve + triple-digit US floor-price "wedge."
Uranium (nuclear-plant fuel) sold off because it had been lumped in with the AI/power hype and momentum-chasing funds. Paulo thinks that selloff is a buying chance. Cameco, the biggest Western uranium miner, and a power utility both stepped in to buy uranium at $76-77 a pound even though longer-term contracts are priced around $85 — a sign the metal is cheap. Cameco has even been borrowing uranium to meet its delivery promises, which it can't do forever, so it has strong reason to buy.
His bigger bet is a political catalyst: he expects Washington to create a Strategic Uranium Reserve and possibly guarantee a high floor price for US-mined uranium (as it did for rare earths). That would give uranium stocks their own reason to rise, separate from the AI selloff dragging them down. He was buying again.
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